BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Baseball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Pleasant Hill Southeast Polk

Class: 4A Class Rank: 5 Conference: (22-14-0) Overall: (28-14-0) Overall Strength =   33.02

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 05/21/2012 Home    W    35.17  10   0   3A  32 (11-23) Carlisle                1.88      8.12                      
  2 05/21/2012 Home    W    35.17  12   2   3A  32 (11-23) Carlisle                1.88      8.12                      
  3 05/24/2012 Away    L *  24.73   4  11   4A   8 (29-11) Waukee                 -8.56      1.56                      
  4 05/24/2012 Away    L *  30.73   6   7   4A   8 (29-11) Waukee                 -2.56      1.56                      
  5 05/29/2012 Home    W *  30.72   2   1   4A  17 (21-17) Des Moines Roosevelt   -2.57      3.57                      
  6 05/30/2012 Away    W *  40.52  12   1   4A  16 (25-15) Des Moines East         7.23      3.77                      
  7 05/30/2012 Away    W *  36.52   9   2   4A  16 (25-15) Des Moines East         3.23      3.77                      
  8 06/02/2012 Home    W    40.49  11   0   4A  20 (23-18) Cedar Rapids Prairie    7.20      3.80                      
  9 06/02/2012 Home    W    31.22   1   0   3A   3 (35-10) Epworth W Dubuque      -2.07      3.07                      
 10 06/04/2012 Home    L *  30.39   7   9   4A   6 (20-20) Johnston               -2.90      0.90                      
 11 06/04/2012 Home    W *  38.39   8   2   4A   6 (20-20) Johnston                5.10      0.90                      
 12 06/07/2012 Home    L *  29.52   3   4   4A  14 (17-24) Urbandale              -3.77      2.77                      
 13 06/07/2012 Home    L *  26.52   2   6   4A  14 (17-24) Urbandale              -6.77      2.77                      
 14 06/08/2012 Away    W *  32.22  15   1   4A  48 ( 2-34) Des Moines North       -1.07 *   15.07                      
 15 06/08/2012 Away    W *  45.22  30   3   4A  48 ( 2-34) Des Moines North       11.93 *   15.07                      
 16 06/11/2012 Away    W *  30.35  12  11   4A  19 (17-23) Indianola              -2.94      3.94                      
 17 06/11/2012 Away    W *  40.35  16   5   4A  19 (17-23) Indianola               7.06      3.94                      
 18 06/14/2012 Home    L *  31.40   4   6   4A   2 (32-11) WDM Dowling            -1.89     -0.11                      
 19 06/14/2012 Home    W *  34.40   1   0   4A   2 (32-11) WDM Dowling             1.11     -0.11                      
 20 06/18/2012 Away    L *  23.75   1  13   4A   1 (43- 2) Ankeny                 -9.54     -2.46                      
 21 06/18/2012 Away    L *  29.75   3   9   4A   1 (43- 2) Ankeny                 -3.54     -2.46                      
 22 06/19/2012 Unknown L *  30.15   6   9   4A   3 (34-10) WDM Valley             -3.14      0.14                      
 23 06/21/2012 Away    L *  30.15   1   3   4A   6 (20-20) Johnston               -3.14      1.14                      
 24 06/21/2012 Away    W *  33.15   4   3   4A   6 (20-20) Johnston               -0.14      1.14                      
 25 06/25/2012 Away    W *  32.29   3   1   4A  14 (17-24) Urbandale              -1.00      3.00                      
 26 06/25/2012 Away    L *  26.29   1   5   4A  14 (17-24) Urbandale              -7.00      3.00                      
 27 06/26/2012 Home    W *  34.31  12   4   4A  36 (14-25) Des Moines Lincoln      1.02      6.98                      
 28 06/26/2012 Home    W *  31.31   8   3   4A  36 (14-25) Des Moines Lincoln     -1.98      6.98                      
 29 06/28/2012 Home    W *  35.59   8   2   4A  19 (17-23) Indianola               2.30      3.70                      
 30 06/28/2012 Home    W *  35.59   9   3   4A  19 (17-23) Indianola               2.30      3.70                      
 31 07/02/2012 Away    W *  36.16   4   1   4A   2 (32-11) WDM Dowling             2.87      0.13  Principal Park      
 32 07/02/2012 Away    W *  37.16   6   2   4A   2 (32-11) WDM Dowling             3.87      0.13  Principal Park      
 33 07/05/2012 Home    L *  32.99   0   3   4A   1 (43- 2) Ankeny                 -0.30     -2.70                      
 34 07/05/2012 Home    L *  29.99   2   8   4A   1 (43- 2) Ankeny                 -3.30     -2.70                      
 35 07/06/2012 Home    W    37.18  15   0   3A  48 (14-15) Creston                 3.89     11.11                      
 36 07/09/2012 Away    W *  34.79  13   4   4A  38 ( 7-30) Ames                    1.50      7.50                      
 37 07/09/2012 Away    W *  30.79   7   2   4A  38 ( 7-30) Ames                   -2.50      7.50                      
 38 07/10/2012 Home    W *  33.81  10   0   4A  44 ( 7-29) Des Moines Hoover       0.52      9.48                      
 39 07/10/2012 Home    W *  38.81  16   1   4A  44 ( 7-29) Des Moines Hoover       5.52      9.48                      
 40 07/13/2012 Home    W    28.92   5   0   4A  43 (15-20) Newton                 -4.38      9.38                      
 41 07/16/2012 Unknown W *  38.48  10   0   4A  24 (19-23) Marshalltown            5.19      4.81                      
 42 07/18/2012 Away    L *  32.75   2   5   4A   1 (43- 2) Ankeny                 -0.54     -2.46                      
      Averages              33.29   7.4  3.6

Best game:   45.22 = 27 point win over Des Moines North
Worst game:  23.75 = 12 point loss to Ankeny
Team stdev:   4.52